The War Report Card

Both sides claimed victory. Iran: "Nearly all war objectives achieved." Trump: "We have met and exceeded all military objectives." Trump at UFC: "It doesn't matter. From the standpoint of America, we win."

OPERATION ETERNAL DARKNESS: Hours after the ceasefire, Israel launched its largest strike of the war on Lebanon — 100+ targets in 10 minutes, 50 jets, 160 munitions. 500+ killed in Lebanon since ceasefire announced; 380+ since Apr 16 truce alone. Death toll now past 2,850. Netanyahu: "the ceasefire does not include Lebanon." Vance: "legitimate misunderstanding."

HORMUZ STILL BLOCKED: Iran re-closed the strait after Lebanon strikes. 2,000+ ships stranded. $1M+ tolls per ship. CENTCOM now actively clearing Iranian mines. ADNOC CEO: "The Strait of Hormuz is not open." Ship traffic at a trickle — 5-7/day vs pre-war 138.

ISLAMABAD TALKS COLLAPSE: 21 hours of historic direct talks — first since 1979. No deal. Both delegations left Pakistan. Iran refused to commit to no nuclear weapons. Vance: "best and final offer" left on the table. Iran's FM: "2 or 3 key issues" blocked agreement. Ghalibaf: "US failed to gain our trust." Iran says no plans for further talks — "ball in America's court."

WHAT'S NEXT — DAY 94, HORMUZ BACK ON FIRE: The Apr 16 Israel-Hezbollah truce is shredded; the wider US-Iran ceasefire holds only on paper while a US peace proposal sits with Tehran. May 5-6: French CMA CGM tanker San Antonio attacked transiting Hormuz; US Navy F/A-18 disables an Iranian-flagged tanker in the Gulf of Oman; Israel hits Beqaa Valley (4 killed) and Beirut's Haret Hreik for the first time since the Lebanon truce, targeting a Radwan Force commander. May 7: US-Iran exchange in the Strait — Iran says US targeted two ships and civilian areas along its southern coast; CENTCOM says it intercepted "unprovoked Iranian attacks" on three Navy destroyers and struck Iranian launch sites, command centres and intelligence infrastructure; explosions on Qeshm Island and Bandar Abbas; Iran shoots down a US drone over Hormuz. May 8: A second F/A-18 strike from USS George H.W. Bush disables tankers M/T Sea Star III and M/T Sevda before they could reach an Iranian port — capacity 166M+ barrels worth $13B+. UAE air defenses engage 2 ballistic missiles + 3 drones from Iran (3 wounded; cumulative since attacks began: 551 ballistic missiles, 29 cruise, 2,263 UAVs). Israeli strikes on Doueir, Harouf and Toura kill 10, wound 42. Iran's FM Araghchi: "will never bow to pressure"; Tehran calls the strikes a "clear violation" and "point of no return." May 9: Israeli attacks across Lebanon kill at least 24 (Al Jazeera tally). May 10: 51 killed in Lebanon in a single day; Lebanese Health Ministry confirms total now 2,846 since March 2. May 11: Trump convenes a high-level security meeting on Iran with renewed fighting "on the table"; tells Fox News he is considering reactivating Project Freedom to clear Hormuz, calling it "only a piece" of a larger military operation. Hezbollah fires rockets and explosive drones at IDF positions in southern Lebanon. May 12: Israeli air raids on Kfar Dounin kill 6, wound 7; IDF strikes a water pumping station in Deir Mimas and homes in Bint Jbeil; fresh evacuation orders issued for Sohmor (Bekaa) and Arzoun, Tayr Debba, Bazouriyeh, al-Haush in the south. PM Nawaf Salam asks Washington to pressure Israel "to stop the ongoing attacks." Hezbollah chief Naim Qassem: weapons discussions are "an internal Lebanese matter and not part of negotiations." Turkish FM Hakan Fidan flies to Qatar for Iran-war talks focused on Hormuz navigational safety. May 14-15: Lebanon-Israel direct talks open in Washington. Analyst consensus: if Israel keeps striking Hezbollah, Iran may find it politically impossible to keep talking to the US. 1,500+ ships still stranded in the Gulf; oil holds above $100/bbl.