War Report Card | War.Direct

01 The Scoreboard OSINT ANALYSIS

🇺🇸🇮🇱 US / ISRAEL

Targets struck13,000+

Warships sunk155+

Leaders killed45+

Verified strikes887

Killed in Iran3,636+

Killed in Lebanon4,300+

Children killed410+

18,000 bombs dropped. Air force neutralized. Navy destroyed. Nuclear sites damaged. IRGC command decimated. 8 bridges severed. 60%+ of Iran's missile launchers destroyed. 1M+ displaced in Lebanon. 3.2M IDPs in Iran.

V S

🇮🇷 IRAN & AXIS

Strikes on Israel/Gulf749

Hormuz traffic down90%

US aircraft downed2

Oil price surge+53%

Killed in Israel40

Killed in Gulf28

Children killed4

1,800+ missiles fired. F-15E shot down — first US combat air loss in 20 years. 4 US bases struck (Al Udeid, Ali Al Salem, Al Dhafra, 5th Fleet HQ). Hormuz closed. Cluster munitions on cities. Saudi pipeline — 10% of export capacity wiped.

02 Human Cost VERIFIED SOURCES

Iran

3,636+

total killed — military & civilian (HRANA)

1,701 civilians · 1,221 military · 26,500+ injured · 3.2M IDPs

Lebanon

4,300+

killed — Lebanese Health Ministry (since March)

1M+ displaced (20% of population) · 165+ children · 12,200+ injured · 1,000+ killed since Apr 16 truce

Israel

40

killed (27 civilians + 13 IDF)

7,453+ wounded · Sgt. Idan Fooks (19) — first combat death since truce, Apr 26

US Military

15

killed (CENTCOM)

415+ wounded · Hegseth probed in Congress hearing Apr 29

Iraq

118

killed

PMF, Peshmerga, police, civilians · US-UK base hit 28× in a day

Gulf States

28

killed

UAE 12 · Kuwait 7 · Bahrain 3 · Saudi 3 · Oman 3

8,100+

TOTAL KILLED · 47,000+ WOUNDED · 4.2M+ DISPLACED · 10M+ ACROSS REGION

03 Key Figures Eliminated

Ali Khamenei

Supreme Leader of Iran

Feb 28 — Assassinated in opening strikes

Ali Shamkhani

Top Defense Official

Feb 28

IRGC Commander-in-Chief

Head of Revolutionary Guards

Feb 28

Defence Minister

Ministry of Defence

Feb 28

Esmail Khatib

Intelligence Minister

Early March

Alireza Tangsiri

IRGC Navy Commander

Early March

Ali Larijani

Senior Political Figure

Early March

Gholamreza Soleimani

Basij Militia Commander

Mar 17

Majid Khademi

IRGC Intelligence Chief

Apr 6 — #2 in IRGC

Asghar Bagheri

Quds Force Unit 840 Commander

Apr 6 — Global terror ops chief

Kamal Kharazi

Former FM / Chief Foreign Affairs Strategist

Apr 10 — Died from airstrike wounds

Naim Qassem

Hezbollah Secretary-General

Apr 9 — Israel claims killed. UNCONFIRMED by Hezbollah.

SUCCESSION

Mojtaba Khamenei

New Supreme Leader — son of assassinated Ali Khamenei

Assumed power Mar 8 — untested, defiant. Iran's leadership continues under new command.

04 War Crimes Watch HRW / AMNESTY / UN

ALLEGATIONS AGAINST US / ISRAEL

Minab girls' school — 165+ schoolgirls killed (ages 7-12) on Day 1 by US Tomahawk missile. US admitted "likely" responsible due to targeting error. HRW, Amnesty, UNESCO condemned. Investigated as war crime.

Bushehr nuclear power plant struck 4 times — IAEA "deeply concerned"

Sharif University of Technology bombed — mosque on campus destroyed

Eslamshahr residential area — 13 killed including 6 children under 10

8 bridge segments struck — railway bridge killing 2 in Kashan, 9 dead in Qom

Trump: "A whole civilization will die tonight" — threats to destroy all power plants, bridges, desalination

Rafi-Nia Synagogue in Tehran completely destroyed — Israel "expressed regret"

ALLEGATIONS AGAINST IRAN

Cluster munitions on Israeli cities — banned weapons, confirmed by HRW

Haifa residential building collapse — 4 civilians killed, unintercepted missile

Beit Shemesh synagogue shelter — 9 killed including 4 children

Gulf civilian infrastructure — Kuwait power/water plants, Bahrain refineries, UAE telecoms

Kuwait & Bahrain residential areas struck — 6 injured in Kuwait residential attack

Targeting civilian airports and petrochemical sites across Gulf states

05 The Coalitions

ACTIVE COMBATANTS

Direct military participation

USA CENTCOM — Operation Epic Fury Israel Operation Roaring Lion UK Bases for strikes, Cyprus airspace

HORMUZ SHIPPING COALITION

40 nations signed to reopen Hormuz — primarily to protect shipping and energy interests, not a military alliance with US/Israel

France Germany Italy Netherlands Japan Canada Australia

HOST NATIONS (US BASES)

Saudi Arabia UAE Bahrain Kuwait Qatar

Note: Many European nations have condemned US threats against civilian infrastructure. Gulf states are hosting US bases but are also victims of Iranian strikes.

WITH IRAN

Axis of Resistance + backers

Hezbollah Lebanon Houthis Yemen Iraqi Militias PMF Russia Intel sharing + UN veto China UN veto + diplomacy Syria N. Korea Distancing

NEUTRAL / MEDIATING

Ceasefire brokers

Pakistan Brokered ceasefire Egypt Mediator Turkey Mediator Qatar Oman India

06 Military Losses

US / COALITION LOSSES

15 killed, 415+ wounded (CENTCOM Apr 21)

F-15E Strike Eagle shot down — first US combat air loss in 20 years

A-10 Thunderbolt II shot down over Strait of Hormuz

3x F-15E destroyed by Kuwaiti friendly fire (Mar 2)

2x MC-130 + 4x MH-6 self-destroyed in Iran during rescue op

Multiple MQ-9 Reaper drones lost

4 US bases struck by Iran during ceasefire (Al Udeid, Ali Al Salem, Al Dhafra, 5th Fleet HQ)

War cost: $45B+ (~$1B/day)

IRAN LOSSES

Navy destroyed — 155+ warships and submarines sunk

Air force neutralized — dozens of aircraft destroyed on ground

13,000+ targets struck, 18,000 bombs dropped

1,800+ missiles fired at Israel + Gulf (from original 2,500 arsenal)

60%+ missile launchers destroyed — fire rate collapsed 90%

45+ senior leaders killed incl. Supreme Leader

8 bridges severed — railways suspended nationwide

Petrochemical industry crippled — Mahshahr, South Pars, Asaluyeh

3 Tehran airports struck — Mehrabad, Bahram, Azmayesh

Nuclear sites damaged — Bushehr, Fordow, Isfahan

07 Before & After

Strait of Hormuz

Open — 20M bbl/day

Re-closed after Lebanon strikes. 2,000 ships stranded. Only 2 have passed.

Oil Price

$72/bbl

$110+/bbl (+53%)

Iran's Military

Intact — 4th largest in region

Navy gone, air force gone, 45+ leaders dead

Iran's Leverage

Limited — proxy network

Controls global energy chokepoint

US Public Support

N/A

38% support, 55% oppose

Global Perception

US military supremacy

Growing sympathy for Iran

Iran Leadership

Khamenei — established

Mojtaba — untested, defiant

Lebanon

Fragile peace

2,727+ dead, 8,438+ wounded, 1.2M displaced, ground invasion, excluded from ceasefire, Apr-truce now broken

Qatar LNG

Flowing — world's top exporter

Force majeure — zero exports

War Cost (US)

$0

$45B+ (~$1B/day)

08 Public Perception PEW / YOUGOV / IPSOS

US Public Opinion

Support the war38%

Oppose the war55%

Want quick exit66%

Worried about gas prices69%

Say wrong decision59%

Partisan Divide

Republican support69%

Democrat support10%

Dem disapproval of Trump handling90%

GOP approval of Trump handling69%

International Opinion

Netherlands — view strikes negatively39%

UK — concerned about economy83%

UK — concerned about fuel/energy84%

Spain poll: Trump and Netanyahu seen as greater threats to world peace than Mojtaba Khamenei

The Mood

Iranians formed human chains around power plants and bridges in civilian defiance — images went viral globally, shifting sympathy toward Iran

US lawmakers called to remove Trump after "whole civilization will die" threat. Tucker Carlson urged officials to oppose civilian infrastructure strikes

UN Secretary-General: "No military objective justifies the wholesale destruction of a society's infrastructure"

09 The Ceasefire APR 7 – JUL 9, 2026

CEASEFIRE DEAD — JUL 6-9

The Jun 17 MOU is over. Iran struck commercial tankers in the Strait of Hormuz (Jul 6-7), prompting two nights of US strikes on Bandar Abbas, Sirik, Qeshm, Hengam Island, Jask and Bushehr province (80-90 targets) plus strikes on Tehran itself (Jul 8-9). Iran retaliated Jul 9 with ~10 ballistic missiles at Jordan's Azraq base and strikes on Bahrain, Kuwait and Qatar. Trump declared the MOU "over" on Jul 8 and reimposed oil sanctions. Qatar and Oman remain in contact with both sides, but there is no active negotiating track as of Day 140.

CEASEFIRE ACCEPTED BY BOTH SIDES

US TERMS

Two-week suspension of all bombing operations

Iran must immediately reopen Strait of Hormuz — "COMPLETE, IMMEDIATE, and SAFE OPENING"

Negotiations to begin in Islamabad, Pakistan — April 10

IRAN'S 5 CONDITIONS FOR PERMANENT PEACE

All acts of "aggression" must end permanently

Guarantees the war will not recur

Payment of war damages and reparations

End the war across all fronts — including Lebanon

Iranian sovereignty over the Strait of Hormuz recognized

Both sides claimed victory. Iran: "Nearly all war objectives achieved." Trump: "We have met and exceeded all military objectives." Trump at UFC: "It doesn't matter. From the standpoint of America, we win."

OPERATION ETERNAL DARKNESS: Hours after the ceasefire, Israel launched its largest strike of the war on Lebanon — 100+ targets in 10 minutes, 50 jets, 160 munitions. 500+ killed in Lebanon since ceasefire announced; 380+ since Apr 16 truce alone. Death toll now past 3,200. Netanyahu: "the ceasefire does not include Lebanon." Vance: "legitimate misunderstanding."

HORMUZ STILL BLOCKED: Iran re-closed the strait after Lebanon strikes. 2,000+ ships stranded. $1M+ tolls per ship. CENTCOM now actively clearing Iranian mines. ADNOC CEO: "The Strait of Hormuz is not open." Ship traffic at a trickle — 5-7/day vs pre-war 138.

ISLAMABAD TALKS COLLAPSE: 21 hours of historic direct talks — first since 1979. No deal. Both delegations left Pakistan. Iran refused to commit to no nuclear weapons. Vance: "best and final offer" left on the table. Iran's FM: "2 or 3 key issues" blocked agreement. Ghalibaf: "US failed to gain our trust." Iran says no plans for further talks — "ball in America's court."

HOW THE CEASEFIRE ROSE AND FELL — DAY 140, THE WAR IS BACK. After weeks in which the Apr 16 Israel-Hezbollah truce was shredded and the wider US-Iran ceasefire held only on paper, mediators reached a memorandum of understanding in mid-June to end hostilities on all fronts — including Lebanon — within 60 days. It survived barely three weeks. The full arc:

MAY 5-6

French CMA CGM tanker San Antonio attacked transiting Hormuz; a US Navy F/A-18 disables an Iranian-flagged tanker in the Gulf of Oman; Israel hits the Beqaa Valley (4 killed) and Beirut's Haret Hreik for the first time since the Lebanon truce.

MAY 7

US-Iran exchange in the Strait — CENTCOM says it intercepted "unprovoked Iranian attacks" on three destroyers and struck launch sites and command centres; explosions on Qeshm and Bandar Abbas; Iran shoots down a US drone over Hormuz.

MAY 8

F/A-18s from USS George H.W. Bush disable tankers Sea Star III and Sevda — 166M+ barrels of capacity worth $13B+. UAE air defenses engage 2 ballistic missiles and 3 drones. Israeli strikes kill 10 in Lebanon. Tehran calls it a "point of no return."

MAY 9-10

Israeli attacks kill at least 24 across Lebanon, then 51 in a single day — the Lebanese toll passes 2,846.

MAY 11-12

Trump weighs reactivating Project Freedom to clear Hormuz; Hezbollah fires rockets and explosive drones at IDF positions; Israeli raids kill 6 in Kfar Dounin; fresh evacuation orders across southern Lebanon.

MAY 14-15

Lebanon-Israel direct talks open in Washington. 1,500+ ships still stranded in the Gulf; oil holds above $100/bbl.

JUN 14

Mediators announce a memorandum of understanding to formally end the war within 60 days.

JUN 17

The US and Iranian presidents sign the MOU — ending hostilities on all fronts including Lebanon, though neither Israel nor Hezbollah is a party to it.

JUN 18

Hormuz traffic rebounds sharply — 25 verified commercial crossings, the highest single-day count since Apr 18.

JUN 19

A flare-up tests the deal — Israel strikes 80+ Hezbollah targets before Israel and Hezbollah renew their ceasefire hours later.

JUN 23-25

Washington talks: Israel agrees to withdraw from two areas of southern Lebanon — but Hezbollah's Naim Qassem rejects the security pact a day after it is signed.

JUN 26-27

An IRGC drone strikes a Singapore-flagged cargo ship in Hormuz. The US retaliates for two straight days — missile and drone stores, coastal radar, and naval facilities at Qeshm and Sirik.

JUN 28

Before dawn the IRGC fires missiles and drones at US military sites in Bahrain and Kuwait; the US strikes near Tehran for a second night. Each side accuses the other of breaching the MOU.

JUL 2-3

A bombing at Damascus's Al-Mushairiya cafe kills 10, including six lawyers; IRGC clashes with Kurdish opposition fighters near Piranshahr (~10 killed per Kurdish rights groups).

JUL 6-7

Iran strikes commercial tankers transiting the Strait of Hormuz, including a Qatari-flagged vessel.

JUL 7-8

CENTCOM confirms US strikes on 80-90 targets across Bandar Abbas, Sirik, Qeshm, Hengam Island, Jask and Bushehr province.

JUL 8

Trump declares the Jun 17 MOU "over" and reimposes oil sanctions. US strikes kill 8 Iranian soldiers; Iran hits US interests in Iraq and strikes Bahrain and Kuwait.

JUL 9

US hits Bushehr port facilities and Tehran; the Tehran-Mashhad railway is suspended. Iran strikes six Gulf states and fires ~10 ballistic missiles at Jordan's Azraq base — the first Iranian missiles in Jordanian airspace. Ali Khamenei, assassinated Feb 28, is buried in Mashhad; his son Mojtaba remains Supreme Leader. No active negotiating track remains — Qatar and Oman continue quiet mediation.

10 Your Verdict LIVE READER POLL

Was the war on Iran justified?

Who is winning the war?

Will the ceasefire hold?

Have war objectives been met?

11 The Global Ripple

Energy Crisis

Oil price$72 → $110+

US gas prices+30% ($4/gal)

Hormuz trafficDown 90%

Qatar LNGForce majeure

Iraq oil production4.3M → 1.2M bbl/day

IEA: "Largest supply disruption in the history of the global oil market"

Humanitarian Fallout

People facing hunger+45M

Global fertilizer via Hormuz30%

Food aid delayedTens of 1000s tons

Nigeria fuel surge+50%

Nepal2-day weekends (fuel)

WFP: Tens of thousands of metric tons of food stuck in transit. IRC: $130K of medicine for Sudan stranded in Dubai.

Iran's Internet Blackout

Duration37+ days

Connectivity4% of normal

RecordLongest ever globally

Daily cost to economy$35.7M/day

Online salesDown 80%

Civilians receive no real-time evacuation warnings. Millions abroad have lost all contact with relatives inside Iran.

Economic Damage

US war cost$45B+ (~$1B/day)

Iran internet losses$1.3B+ (37 days)

Iran petrochemical export85% offline

Global marketsSelloff

Aviation reroutingAirspace closed

Chatham House warns of stagflation risk. Morgan Stanley: "If oil averaged $140/bbl for two months, parts of the global economy enter recession."

12 Voices from the Battlefield

Human Chains at Power Plants

As Trump's midnight deadline approached, thousands of Iranians formed human chains around power plants and bridges across the country. The images went viral globally — ordinary citizens standing in darkness, arms linked, shielding their infrastructure with their bodies. Iran's government had called on "all young people, athletes, artists, students, and professors" to participate.

APR 7 — VIRAL GLOBALLY — SHIFTED PUBLIC SYMPATHY

The Musician at the Power Plant

Iranian musician Ali Ghamsari played the tar — a traditional Persian string instrument — in front of the Damavand power plant. "I hope the sound of my tar can have an impact on peace," he said. The video became one of the defining cultural moments of the war.

APR 7 — CULTURAL MOMENT

The F-15 Rescue Deep Inside Iran

When an F-15E was shot down over western Iran — the first US combat air loss in 20 years — both crew members survived. The WSO, a Colonel, spent days hiding in the Iranian mountains, directing strikes on Iranian positions from his hiding spot. US commandos flew deep into Iran to extract him, then destroyed two MC-130 transport planes and four helicopters on the ground to prevent them falling into enemy hands. Trump declared: "WE GOT HIM!"

APR 3-5 — FIRST US COMBAT AIR LOSS SINCE 2003

"A Whole Civilization Will Die Tonight"

Hours before his self-imposed deadline, Trump posted on Truth Social: "A whole civilization will die tonight, never to be brought back again. I don't want that to happen, but it probably will." The statement drew bipartisan condemnation. US lawmakers called it an incitement to war crimes. The UN Secretary-General responded: "No military objective justifies the wholesale destruction of a society's infrastructure."

APR 7 — DREW BIPARTISAN CONDEMNATION — AMNESTY INTERNATIONAL RESPONSE

The Haifa Building That Didn't Make It

An unintercepted Iranian ballistic missile — carrying a 400kg+ warhead — scored a direct hit on a residential building in Haifa. Three floors collapsed. An elderly couple (Lena, 68, and Vladimir, 73), their son Dima (42), and his partner Lucille Jean (~25) were found after an 18-hour rescue operation described as one of the most complex of the war. They had been trying to reach the stairwell shelter but didn't make it in time.

APR 5 — 4 CIVILIANS KILLED — HAIFA, ISRAEL

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